Context
State, user, environment, and operational constraints.
env.observe()Reinforce OS
Build applications that experiment, infer causality, and improve policies over time with experimental design, causal inference, and reinforcement learning.
Reinforce OS loop
Reinforce OS turns experimentation into infrastructure. Every decision becomes part of a feedback loop: observe context, choose an action, measure the outcome, estimate causal effects, and refine the policy.
Context
State, user, environment, and operational constraints.
env.observe()Decision
Choose an action using the current policy and safety guardrails.
policy.select()Intervention
Assign treatment, workflow, prompt, price, or recommendation.
decision.actionOutcome
Measure what happened and preserve the audit trail.
observe(outcome)Inference
Estimate causal effects, uncertainty, and counterfactuals.
posterior.update()Policy Update
Refine future decisions without losing track of exploration.
policy.deploy()Core primitives
Reinforce OS exposes the basic building blocks required to turn applications into learning systems.
Environments
Define the system, context, constraints, and observable state.
reinforce.environment("onboarding")Actions
Represent interventions the system can choose.
actions: ["guided_setup", "video_intro"]Policies
Decision rules that map context to action.
policy.select({ state, constraints })Rewards
Objectives, tradeoffs, and delayed outcomes.
reward: "activated_within_7_days"Experiments
Randomization, assignment, power, crossover designs, and adaptive sampling.
strategy: "bandit"Counterfactuals
Estimate what would have happened under alternative actions.
estimate.do(action_alt)Architecture
Layered infrastructure for experiments, causal inference, adaptive policies, and production data.
Application Layer
Personal apps, enterprise workflows, education, agent systems.
Reinforce OS API
Environments, actions, policies, rewards, observations.
Experiment Core
RCTs, crossover designs, randomization, power, compliance.
Causal Engine
DAGs, SCMs, counterfactuals, Bayesian posteriors.
Adaptive Layer
Bandits, policy gradients, online RL, safe exploration.
Data Layer
Events, outcomes, metrics, audit trails, model inputs.
Code / API
Define a decision problem, deploy a policy, observe outcomes, and let the system learn.
import { reinforce } from "@dooperator/reinforce";
reinforce.configure({ apiKey: process.env.REINFORCE_API_KEY });
const env = reinforce.environment("onboarding");
const policy = env.policy({
strategy: "bandit",
actions: ["guided_setup", "video_intro", "blank_canvas"],
reward: "activated_within_7_days",
});
const decision = await policy.select({
userId: user.id,
state: {
role: user.role,
experience: user.experience,
teamSize: user.teamSize,
},
});
await app.show(decision.action);
await policy.observe({
decisionId: decision.decisionId,
outcome: {
activated: true,
satisfaction: 9,
},
});sample output
{
"action": "guided_setup",
"confidence": 0.74,
"exploration": true,
"policyVersion": "π_0042"
}Methodology
Reinforce OS integrates experimental design, causal inference, and reinforcement learning into one production workflow.
RCTs, crossover trials, stratified randomization, power calculations, and pre-registered hypotheses are built into the workflow.
Structural causal models, DAGs, counterfactuals, and Bayesian posteriors turn observations into defensible causal estimates.
Bandits and online reinforcement learning can update policies as evidence accumulates while respecting exploration and safety constraints.
Agent policy testing
Define two policy versions as experiment conditions, log outcome metrics after each agent run, and let Bayesian analysis tell you which policy wins.
Create an experiment with baseline_policy and new_policy as conditions. Any domain: support, sales, ops, content.
After each agent run, POST the condition used and the observed metrics — resolution rate, escalation rate, override rate, cost.
Bayesian analysis accumulates as data arrives. P(new_policy better) updates in real time. Share results with a link.
Applications
DoOperator builds the platform and the applications on top of it so the infrastructure stays grounded in real decision loops, including enterprise agent workflows.
Personal science for sleep, focus, habits, recovery, and behavior change.
Open →Experimentation and adaptive workflows for teams, operators, and product systems.
Open →The open curriculum covering experimental design, causal graphs, Bayesian inference, bandits, and reinforcement learning.
Open →21,000+ curated papers on causal inference, experimental design, heterogeneous effects, bandits, and reinforcement learning — with deep wiki summaries.
Open →Run controlled experiments between AI agent prompt versions, models, or routing policies. Measure resolution rate, escalation rate, and override rate.
Open →DoOperator Education
DoOperator Education teaches the theory behind Reinforce OS: experimental design, causal graphs, Bayesian inference, bandits, reinforcement learning, and policy evaluation.
Technical foundation
Most decision software is a correlation engine with a dashboard. Reinforce OS treats interventions, counterfactuals, confounders, uncertainty, and policy updates as first-class system objects.
RCT
Randomized assignment and controlled experimentation.
SCM
Structural causal models for interventions and counterfactuals.
MAB
Bandit allocation for adaptive exploration.
OPE
Off-policy evaluation before deploying new strategies.
RL
Online policy improvement under uncertainty.
Mission
Decisions are everywhere: what to recommend, what to teach, what workflow to show, what intervention to try, what policy to deploy. Today most of those decisions are static, intuitive, or optimized against weak correlations.
Reinforce OS makes them adaptive. It gives builders the infrastructure to test interventions, estimate causal effects, manage uncertainty, and improve policies over time.
Final CTA
We are looking for technical collaborators, early customers, researchers, and investors who believe software should learn from experience.